Anonymous
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Anonymous
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�� Robust pipeline lessens need for external partners
PRX announced that it is buying Anchen, a private, Irvine, CA-based generic
pharma company for $410mn (<3x sales, ~11x EBITDA). We are not changing
our model at this time. But, on a preliminary basis, we believe this transaction
appears to make strategic sense as it adds a relatively robust pipeline w/o PRX
having to rely on external partners, augments capabilities in niche controlled
release generics, and adds immediate sales/profits on closing. We continue to
believe the risk/reward on PRX shares remains favorable; reiterate Buy.
Profitable ops with ~44% gross, 35-40% EBITDA margins
According to PRX, Anchen could generate about $125mn in 2011 sales. Anchen
currently sells 5 products (loss of exclusivity on generic Ambien CR will lower
sales going forward). PRX cited gross margins of 44% (net of amortization) and
EBITDA margins of 35-40%, with annual R&D spend of $25mn and SG&A of less
than $15mn for Anchen. Anchen’s gross margins could go up as the contribution
from partnered products reduces over time. Post-closing (may occur by the end of
2011), PRX could spend $65-70mn in R&D/yr (PRX, Edict, Anchen). For planning
purposes, PRX models an interest rate in the range of 5% on its $350mn dealrelated
term loan (could be conservative; loan is LIBOR-based). On closing, PRX
believes it could have cash on hand of $100-200mn (depending on timing of AWP
settlement payments, etc.). PRX expects to provide more details and potentially
update its 3-year EPS outlook in early 2012.
Anchen’s pipeline has 27 ANDAs w/ five FTF opportunities
Anchen currently has 27 ANDAs pending, of which five could be first-to-file
opportunites. PRX cited Jenloga, Hectorol (one strength), Jalyn, Cymbalta and
Enablex as FTFs (last two are shared exclusivity). PRX believes Anchen could
launch 8-10 products over the next two years. While Anchen specializes in solid
dose and extended/controlled release products, PRX could also develop other
types of products (topicals, injectables, etc.) in the future through Anchen’s
collaboration with TWi (Taiwanese company; spun off from Anchen in Apr-2010.
THE FINAL NAIL IN THE Strativa Coffin! To quote another earlier post
"CURRENT EMPLOYEES> DO YOURSELF A FAVOR AND ABANDON THE SINKING SHIP, when the leadership team is made up of RP, AD, and BH, there is no hope for survival.
Get out now because I heard the severance is awful.