You are a little too confident there Hairy...take another look.
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Roth IRAs have many advantages over 401(k)s, including the ability to withdraw contributions (not earnings) any time without penalty. And in terms of estate planning, the Roth has an interesting benefit that allows your dependents to withdraw money from the account tax free."
Of course you can withdraw the money without penalty. You've already paid taxes on it. It's your money. Conversely, you are making a killing on your 401K....because you haven't ponied up taxes. Smokescreen man, smokescreen.
"Which type of account you should emphasize — after you've gotten the maximum contribution from your company on your 401(k) — really depends on a number of assumptions no one knows the answers to. One of the top factors is what you expect your marginal tax rate to be in the future.
True statement there. However, unless the marginal tax rate hits an astounding 75 to 80 percent upon dispursal date, you win with the 401K. The lower the tax rate come maturity date, the bigger the windfall of 401K vs Roth IRA.
Here's why: If your tax rate in the future is about the same as it is now, the 401(k) has a slight advantage. If you invest $4,000 a year over 38 years at an 8% annual return, and your marginal tax rate remains at 25%, the money would be worth about $700,000 in a 401(k) and about $661,000 in a Roth.
However, if your tax rate rises in the future, the answer changes. Assume the tax rate rises from 25% to 35%. Then, your 401(k) would be worth $626,021 — less than the $661,000 value of your Roth.
I don't know what kind of calculator you used, but if if one plowed in 4K per annum at 8% for 38 years, the pile would sit at $1,026,265.99. But you're still missing the point here. By taking 4K from after tax money, your disposable cash for living and further investing is greatly reduced. Contrast that with what happens with a 401K. If you make 100K, and defer tax through a 401K, then your disposable income goes up about 3K to 4K. You take your "extra" 3K to 4K in 401K, and then you invest the extra disposable income also at 8% over 38 years. In this scenario, not only do you have the 1,026,265, but an additional 600 to 700 thousand by investing the difference. It's true, you'll have to pay tax on your "outside investment", but come on man do the math. You're miles ahead. It's the same principle as to why people should never buy universal life insurance, but should instead buy term insurance and invest the difference. When you buy whole life, the insurance company invests your money, but they pocket the proceeds.
While there's no way to know for sure which will be better for you, the Roth or the 401(k), both are a huge help in building your retirement fund. Assuming taxes stay steady at 25%, a taxable retirement account would have only $524,000 in it, which is 25% less than the 401(k) and 20% less than the Roth."
Again, your numbers are askewed, review what I said above. 401K is far and away the better vehicle than the Roth.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/perfi/columnist/krantz/2005-11-25-retirement-accounts_x.htm