Bausch & Lomb CEO Eyes IPO







Bausch & Lomb CEO talks about an IPO for the company. See article at reuters

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011...20111013?feedType=RSS&feedName=innovationNews

This has been the fork in the road: either IPO or sell the company in parts. Warburg Pincus would prefer to IPO because they will get their payday out of the deal on day 1, and then they could care less what happens to B+L. They'll make money on the way up and probably on the way down of the company. They'll make money off of the backs of the employees and con Wall Street into thinking that they are on to something special. Any pharmaceutical analyst who can dive deeper into the public books will not hesitate to downgrade the company in due time.

B+L's strategy is to license or buy competitors because they can't come up with anything good from R&D. A patent extension or obscure indication for a product is not considered something good. If they cannot buy a competitor they will be forced to be sold over time. It's really a do or die situation B+L has gotten itself into. The only choice is to expand and stay alive or contract and slowly die off.

An IPO would be the more favorable option and the more Hassann-approved tactic.
 
























A likely scenario is that B+L spins off a few of the divisions and then IPOs for one of them. Just like Abbott Labs breaking into pharma and surgical. B+L should break off surgical from pharma and lens.
 






B&L can not sell the company. If it was worth more than 4.5 billion it would already be sold. Lots of empty promises about potential new products. No one will buy until B&L actually delivers on new products or show real market share gains.
 






B&L can not sell the company. If it was worth more than 4.5 billion it would already be sold. Lots of empty promises about potential new products. No one will buy until B&L actually delivers on new products or show real market share gains.

That ain't gonna happen for a long time. It's the old shell game at B+L. They are just shuffling things from one cup to the other to keep people guessing.
 






You might as well say they will get 20 B. It's not going to happen and they know it otherwise they would be long gone. They are groping around in the dark hoping some fool comes along as this thing rots for and R&D perspective and market shares quietly decline. It's like having a football player who is over the hill and you're stuck with their contract and you would love for someone to pick them up but as each day goes by it is less likely to happen.
 






You might as well say they will get 20 B. It's not going to happen and they know it otherwise they would be long gone. They are groping around in the dark hoping some fool comes along as this thing rots for and R&D perspective and market shares quietly decline. It's like having a football player who is over the hill and you're stuck with their contract and you would love for someone to pick them up but as each day goes by it is less likely to happen.

WP trusted a bunch of fools to put this company together and most of them are now gone.
 






WP trusted a bunch of fools to put this company together and most of them are now gone.

The culture of this company has not changed even after all of the changes to upper management. How can this happen? Without a fundamental reorganization of the company into distinctly separate business units and a thorough review of the mid-managers to see if they are part of the problem instead of part of the solution the culture of this company will not change.
 






WP trusted a bunch of fools to put this company together and most of them are now gone.

The fools that WP trusted and are now gone hired a good portion of the fools that remain. The residual damage these fools left at this company will be around for a long time. Good luck to the new VPs that have to trust the people working for them that were hired by the fool VPs that came before them.
 






The culture of this company has not changed even after all of the changes to upper management. How can this happen? Without a fundamental reorganization of the company into distinctly separate business units and a thorough review of the mid-managers to see if they are part of the problem instead of part of the solution the culture of this company will not change.

No one's turning this sow's ear into even a cardboard purse. That is the problem WP lives with day in and day out.
 






No one's turning this sow's ear into even a cardboard purse. That is the problem WP lives with day in and day out.

It would be interesting to know what the timeline is for the introduction of the new products. Getting these products to the market quickly and approved in all of the worldwide markests as soon as they come out is critical to the success of B&L.

Potential buyers of this company are likely using the projections of FDA approval as a measure of whether the organization is worth purchasing. If B&L says they are coming out with X product soon and it takes them more time for FDA approval than is typical in the industry it would show that the organization is flawed and inefficient. If the CEO says they are coming out with X product and the product is approved by the FDA and other regulatory agencies ahead of projections then it shows that the company has the know how and efficiency for long term success.

Since the CEO has made statements about coming out with X products the clock is now ticking and the success or failure of an IPO or company sale will depend on when these products are approved by global regulatory agencies in the expected time estimates.
 






It would be interesting to know what the timeline is for the introduction of the new products. Getting these products to the market quickly and approved in all of the worldwide markests as soon as they come out is critical to the success of B&L.

Potential buyers of this company are likely using the projections of FDA approval as a measure of whether the organization is worth purchasing. If B&L says they are coming out with X product soon and it takes them more time for FDA approval than is typical in the industry it would show that the organization is flawed and inefficient. If the CEO says they are coming out with X product and the product is approved by the FDA and other regulatory agencies ahead of projections then it shows that the company has the know how and efficiency for long term success.

Since the CEO has made statements about coming out with X products the clock is now ticking and the success or failure of an IPO or company sale will depend on when these products are approved by global regulatory agencies in the expected time estimates.

You can come out with any product you want and get it approved by the FDA, such as a steroid drop. The criteria as to improving the worth of the company or it's future valuation, is the commercial market share and profitability of that product. This far more important than any FDA approval timeline. This is what matters. Unfortunately, I don't think we have an infrastructure to go anywhere near this and any potential buyers (as well as our management) know this only too well.
 






A merger with J&J or Abbott in the next 6 months is the only thing that makes sense at this point. Tell the two companies that you are selling and take the highest bid. Wait any longer than that and the two companies will move on as they will go in another direction.

The 6 month clock is now ticking.
 






A merger with J&J or Abbott in the next 6 months is the only thing that makes sense at this point. Tell the two companies that you are selling and take the highest bid. Wait any longer than that and the two companies will move on as they will go in another direction.

The 6 month clock is now ticking.

The big issue is that B+L is not a growth company. It's not an innovator. The products on market are either "me too's" or "who really cares." There's no game changer out there, and I would say, the compound they are working on to have a "non-steroid, steroid" is really going to boil down to a bunch of "don't need it, thanks for bringing something to market we don't care about." The lens division gets outclassed by Ciba and J+J. Surgical IOLs and equipment is not competitive enough. Any company that does its due diligence on B+L will find a whole bunch of disappointment mixed with some misdirection and desperation. This place is a sinking ship...just a matter of time.
 






The big issue is that B+L is not a growth company. It's not an innovator. The products on market are either "me too's" or "who really cares." There's no game changer out there, and I would say, the compound they are working on to have a "non-steroid, steroid" is really going to boil down to a bunch of "don't need it, thanks for bringing something to market we don't care about." The lens division gets outclassed by Ciba and J+J. Surgical IOLs and equipment is not competitive enough. Any company that does its due diligence on B+L will find a whole bunch of disappointment mixed with some misdirection and desperation. This place is a sinking ship...just a matter of time.

Perfect scenerio for a merger with another company although WP will not get a fortune for the sale.

Desperado, why don't you come to your senses?
You been out ridin' fences for so long now
Oh, you're a hard one
I know that you got your reasons
These things that are pleasin' you
Can hurt you somehow

Don't you draw the queen of diamonds, boy
She'll beat you if she's able
You know the queen of hearts is always your best bet

Now it seems to me, some fine things
Have been laid upon your table
But you only want the ones that you can't get

Desperado, oh, you ain't gettin' no younger
Your pain and your hunger, they're drivin' you home
And freedom, oh freedom well, that's just some people talkin'
Your prison is walking through this world all alone

Don't your feet get cold in the winter time?
The sky won't snow and the sun won't shine
It's hard to tell the night time from the day
You're losin' all your highs and lows
Ain't it funny how the feeling goes away?

Desperado, why don't you come to your senses?
Come down from your fences, open the gate
It may be rainin', but there's a rainbow above you
You better let somebody buy you, before it's too late
 






The big issue is that B+L is not a growth company. It's not an innovator. The products on market are either "me too's" or "who really cares." There's no game changer out there, and I would say, the compound they are working on to have a "non-steroid, steroid" is really going to boil down to a bunch of "don't need it, thanks for bringing something to market we don't care about." The lens division gets outclassed by Ciba and J+J. Surgical IOLs and equipment is not competitive enough. Any company that does its due diligence on B+L will find a whole bunch of disappointment mixed with some misdirection and desperation. This place is a sinking ship...just a matter of time.

The big problem is the asking price. John Sheets (who is now long gone) told me when I joined this company that based on what Alcon was able to fetch, WP expected a $20B price tag for B&L. They have probably discounted this a few billion but you can be pretty sure their sales price is still way out of whack with what anyone would ever pay for it. The IPO won't happen as they would have to open the books to the public, not just a company or two, and this would lead to much more varied interpretations of what is here. At that point the genie would be out of the bottle and everyone would know for sure what is and isn't here.
 






The big problem is the asking price. John Sheets (who is now long gone) told me when I joined this company that based on what Alcon was able to fetch, WP expected a $20B price tag for B&L. They have probably discounted this a few billion but you can be pretty sure their sales price is still way out of whack with what anyone would ever pay for it. The IPO won't happen as they would have to open the books to the public, not just a company or two, and this would lead to much more varied interpretations of what is here. At that point the genie would be out of the bottle and everyone would know for sure what is and isn't here.

If they are really looking for 20B then everyone should just ignore B+L. If I went into a car dealership and asked how much for the Honda Civic and the salesman said $100,000 dollars I would not even spend 5 minutes of my time negotiating.

WP should get really comfortable with owning B+L. They will own it for a long long time.