the front runners

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Once the voters get a good look at whoever emerges from the GOP clown car as the nominee, the poll numbers will change and the race will tighten up. Each potential republican candidate is flawed to the point of having tea bagger rank all over them. Also, also can happen between now and then - A year in politics can be a lifetime.
 


















Breakingnews said:
Once the voters get a good look at whoever emerges from the GOP clown car as the nominee, the poll numbers will change and the race will tighten up. Each potential republican candidate is flawed to the point of having tea bagger rank all over them. Also, also can happen between now and then - A year in politics can be a lifetime.
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A year in politics is a long time. Predicting political races is inherently problematic, but when taking ALL the information from polls and historical context into account, along with the what for Republicans will be the dramatically positive effect of the Tea Party, then the most likely scenario is that Obama loses in an electoral college landslide. Even if the popular vote winds up being somewhat close, Obama will lose state after state, notably swing states like Florida and Ohio, because people now know how incredibly twisted and destructive Obama is and any one of the Republicans save possibly Paul or Huntsman could probably trounce him.

Unlike the wildly biased and disconnected from reality "analysis" which BN provided, mine actually is defensible and will probably come to pass! But I must express thanks to BN for once again doing an excellent job of illustrating the WRONG way to analyze situations! He's a natural at that!:D
 






Man For All Seasons said:
A year in politics is a long time. Predicting political races is inherently problematic, but when taking ALL the information from polls and historical context into account, along with the what for Republicans will be the dramatically positive effect of the Tea Party, then the most likely scenario is that Obama loses in an electoral college landslide. Even if the popular vote winds up being somewhat close, Obama will lose state after state, notably swing states like Florida and Ohio, because people now know how incredibly twisted and destructive Obama is and any one of the Republicans save possibly Paul or Huntsman could probably trounce him.

Unlike the wildly biased and disconnected from reality "analysis" which BN provided, mine actually is defensible and will probably come to pass! But I must express thanks to BN for once again doing an excellent job of illustrating the WRONG way to analyze situations! He's a natural at that!:D
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Here is the music that should be played while reading any post from MFAS:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gpc5_3B5xdk

:D
 






At this point I predict Obama will lose the electoral college as predicted by MFAS, however, I'm not going along with the rank & file, dyed-in-the-wool analysis he uses. Right now Americans are fed up with the failure of our economy. We've become a very spoiled nation assuming more and more. Many factors have precipitated this over the years (Social Security; Star Wars defense system, unnecessary wars) and it's very much like amassing credit card debt - you buy and buy and then one day the payments are unmanageable.

So you borrow from this bank account, that bank account and even the nest egg. Eventually, that runs out and you're fucked. We are at that place right now and any new president will have to show results in 2 or 3 years or they are fucked. Obama hasn't done it and I frankly doubt anyone can do it that quickly. Time will tell but blowing hot air either way at this point is pretty foolish. We may be in for quite a string of one term presidents.
 






Doc Who said:
Chris Cristy wins and yes he will jump in.
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Fat Christie is holding a press conference right now, and once again has stated that he is not going to run. Hopefully the idiots who continue to call for him to run will now realize that they are stuck with the cast of clowns they've got, and that does not look good for beating Obama. All of the schmucks are just that, schmucks and putz's, who suck up to the conservatards and teabaggers, who decry taxes and common sense.
To sum it all up, a sorry bunch of losers.
 






Vagitarian said:
At this point I predict Obama will lose the electoral college as predicted by MFAS, however, I'm not going along with the rank & file, dyed-in-the-wool analysis he uses. Right now Americans are fed up with the failure of our economy. We've become a very spoiled nation assuming more and more. Many factors have precipitated this over the years (Social Security; Star Wars defense system, unnecessary wars) and it's very much like amassing credit card debt - you buy and buy and then one day the payments are unmanageable.

So you borrow from this bank account, that bank account and even the nest egg. Eventually, that runs out and you're fucked. We are at that place right now and any new president will have to show results in 2 or 3 years or they are fucked. Obama hasn't done it and I frankly doubt anyone can do it that quickly. Time will tell but blowing hot air either way at this point is pretty foolish. We may be in for quite a string of one term presidents.
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You sized that one up quite nicely. Well done.
 
























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