The fat lady is signing. AZ's largest shareholders call for changes to management

Anonymous

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Sayonara turkeys. Time time to clean the entire house and show these fools the door.

Ref: http://www.firstwordpharma.com/node/972311

AstraZeneca shareholders call for changes to management, strategy

(Ref: Financial Times, TD Waterhouse, Fox Business)
April 9th, 2012
By: Lianne Dane

Some of AstraZeneca’s largest investors are lobbying to replace CEO David Brennan and other members of the board and executive team and usher in a new business strategy, The Financial Times reported Monday. The action comes as Leif Johansson seeks formal election as chairman at the annual general meeting later this month.

One investor noted that Brennan is likely to step down next year and suggested that "the board will probably step in and take a new strategic direction because the company is in a downward spiral." Another shareholder noted that "the chief executive is under intense pressure," adding that there had been some suggestions to replace him with global commercial vice-president Tony Zook or finance director Simon Lowth. However, the investor noted that Lowth lacks the breadth to take over. Bernstein Research analyst Jack Scannell noted that "you don’t need a lawyer or a marketing person. You either need Attila the Hun – a total butcher – to run it down until it can be bought, or a Paul Janssen-like figure: a successful scientist who can really take on the research team."

While Brennan has said that the company is reluctant to make even a mid-sized deal and will instead focus on acquisitions closer to about $1 billion, Bernstein Research has said that "our belief is that the status quo is not sustainable," adding that "desperate times may lead to outwardly appearing desperate actions." However, a large shareholder in the company said that new deals were "unthinkable" until a top tier management team had been brought in to develop a coherent and credible strategy for the group.

One investor noted that the group had to address the failure to deliver any return on investments in acquisitions, in-licensing and internal research and development over more than a decade. He called on the incoming chairman to bring in new management "which could change the group’s direction and address shareholders’ frustration at the long-running failures." However, a top 20 shareholder called on the company to sell itself, noting that "otherwise, the group is destined to be cheap forever."
 




This has all been obvious to the AZ employees for at least the last five years. The Attila the Hun strategy seems to be much more likely because a transformational scientist would need more time and money to implement a successful R&D strategy than the company can now afford. Time is really running out now. Sales are plummeting. Current products are only becoming less valuable with each passing day. No major product has increasing sales. No new products will be on the way of any real significance. The die has already been cast. There is no turning back now. AZ leadership has already crossed the point of no return. All of the AZ enterprise and nearly everyone in it will be completely gone in about 18 months time as it is chopped down piecemeal to digestible size for the eventual fire sale. Leadership set upon this short sighted course years ago and now we have actually arrived at the final destination. They can ignore everyone else, but not the investment titans of Wall Street, the very same ones who profited greatly from the stock buy back and dividend plays during the long spiral down the drain.
 








My best guess is there will be several small focused cuts effective in 2012 as several products face rapid decline, followed by a much larger cross organizational cut announced in November or December of 2012, effective in early 2013 so that they can have yet another year of off the books restructuring charges. Full blown sale or merge likely to be announced in mid 2013 to be fully effective in 2014 so that they can then play the restructuring and integration charge games again in that year. Its a great way to hide the real costs of doing business as revenues fall and still appear to be profitable in your GAP numbers!! Get used to the phrase, earnings excluding one time non-recurring restructuring charges.
 












They could easily cut the Crestor Ocean contract early. That would be quick and easy. OR, will they keep that team over the long haul to ride out the remainder of the patent life? They've got the CSAs too, which AZ obviously likes, so that's why I'm wondering if they may just do away with Ocean early & deal with direct AZ reps later.
 












They could easily cut the Crestor Ocean contract early. That would be quick and easy. OR, will they keep that team over the long haul to ride out the remainder of the patent life? They've got the CSAs too, which AZ obviously likes, so that's why I'm wondering if they may just do away with Ocean early & deal with direct AZ reps later.

The Ocean reps are much more affordable than we are. They will likely be kept while more of us are let go.
 








The Ocean reps are much more affordable than we are. They will likely be kept while more of us are let go.

I don't think even the OCEAN reps want to be kept! They're all former big pharma reps, so they get it. It sucks here. Being on a contract is one thing... Being on a contract with AZ is another! It's bad.
 




If they put Zook in charge it will do nothing to change the direction of the company. The downward spiral will continue since Zook has been a major part of the team that has brought us to where we are.

There are 3 paths forward.

Continue to get smaller , then at some point sell off whatever assests are left.

Make several small acquistions and alliances (the Brennan-Zook strategy) and hope something pays off in 3 to 5 years. (How's that working so far?)

Bring in a CEO from outside with a mandate to do whatever is needed to save and grow the company, including getting rid of those who have led us to where we are, and spending the cash AZ has to make the type of "transformative" acquistion Brennan says is not needed.

Merger? Honestly what does AZ have that another company would want?