yes, no, and maybe. It all depends upon the next few moves Bard makes. The two products they have today are semi-competitive. Progel is the best synthetic sealant in the class. A simple vasuclar study would broaden their indication to match Coseal and Bioglue, plus having the thoracic indication. JnJ Omnex has been a miserable lower in the sealant market and it is divided between Coseal, Bioglue, and Progel. Progel can take more market share with the right clinical plan and aggressive sales effort.
Now on to Arista. Decent product. Probably not at the same level as Baxter's Floseal, but good enough to be the lower cost alternative. Should have better margins at minimum given no thrombin and thrombin is expensive. But Arista will compete with Surgiflo, and with the right sales effort, could trade surgeons up from Surgicel to Arista given the right price point. Baxter is coming out with ORC in a few years so the monopoly on ORC will be over. And within the next few years, the FDA is going to down regulatre ORC to Class II so no clinical will be required for future entrants. It will be so heavily commoditized, it wont even be relevant anymore.
So for Bard, the next few product selections ar crucial. they need to be best in class, and competively priced. Hospitals are very tired with Baxter and JnJ. They are looking for new entrants, but just need them to carry a moderately comprehensive portfolio so they can limit their number of vendors, and negotiate better overall product pricing in exchange for a multi-hospital IDN contract.
That is Biosurgery in a nutshell in today's market. Now up to Bard to move to the next level...or not.