Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous
Guest
Just when I was getting ahead here comes the Letairis combo data. Oh well, back to being second place.
Just when I was getting ahead here comes the Letairis combo data. Oh well, back to being second place.
You got to be kidding.
The proof is in the stock, which has not changed for either company to a measurable dent since ambition was released last week. My customers have said that the edema is the only number that stands out about this study. They have also said that while 50% reduction appears big, it needed to be bigger after Seraphin. My center docs said that they will not change what they are doing and are comfortable using maci to start, add, or start with a PDE-5. No one from Actelion is threatened by this data. We will continue to own the ERA business while looking ahead to the launch of selexipeg. At that time, gilead-UT-Bayer can fight for our scraps. Thank you for being an admirable foe from March 4, 2011 until last November when Maci was launched. Ambition was your last rabbit out of the hat and it died in the hat! Thank you for playing...drive home safely. And in the future....stick to HIV where you belong.
Lets do some math junior...
Hospitalization drove both endpoints in Ambition and Seraphin...
The macitentan 10mg group had a hospitalization event rate of 12% per patient year..with 60% of patients on combination...
The Ambition combination data (with 100% of patients on combination) showed an event rate of just 4% with 18 month mean duration of therapy...
So to standardize that..you have to multiply the maci 12% x 1.5 years to get 18%.....versus 4% w Ambition combo...
Or you can take the Ambition 4% rate x 0.66 to standardize it to the Seraphin average duration of therapy...and discount the Ambition rate to 2.6% hospitalization at 1 year...
Then compare the Maci rate to the Ambition rate (18% to 4%@18 months) = 4.5x hospitalizations on the Maci + PDE5 combo OR (12% to 2.6%@12 months) = 4.6x greater hospitalization rate w Maci...
Analysis of REVEAL published in CHEST put the annual rate of hospitalization at 18.6% per year over 3 years...why was the Seraphin control arm annualized rate so high at 27%?? And Ambition control monotherapy arm was 11% over 18 months...and just 7.2% annualized....a much lower and more difficult event rate to improve upon...why was the Seraphin control arm annualized hospitalization rate so high at 27% vs 18.6% in REVEAL and 7.2% in the AMBITION control arm??
The Seraphin 3rd world hospitalization data is not generalizable to the U.S healthcare system... with 46% of Ambition patients in the United States, the Ambition hospitalization rate is obviously is a more realistic and reliable number..in the U.S. payers do everything they can to keep patients out of the hospital..in the 3rd world you can bribe the PI's to do whatever you want...
I didn't even bother reading this whole boring post because it began with a falsehood: hospitalization was not in the SERAPHIN primary endpoint. Kind of hard to take the rest seriously...
You idiot. reduction in hospitalization was the only part of your bogus endpoint that was positive! You don't even know your own data! Go peddle your nebulizer!